GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇲🇽 Liga MX · — · 01:10
versus

Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas

Estadio Corona
0 – 1
Full time
59%
Over 2.5 goals
SA20
Draw23
GU57
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
22/08 05h20%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

liga-mx · 03:10
SANSAN
GUAGUA
Estadio Corona
0 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕59%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
20%
Win SAN
23%
Draw
57%
Win GUA
what happened
20%at opening→20%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SA winDrawGU win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 05hprd_20260817_af-1550926_220805hv1.9.354%65%

What would have to change

i23.6 pt span
Red card57 → 35.9-21.1
Opponent scores first57 → 54.2-2.8
High tempo57 → 59.5+2.5
Low tempo57 → 55-2
Key substitution57 → 56-1
Early goal57 → 570

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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