GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · · 21:00
versus

Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares

Santiago de las Atalayas
Pre-match analysis
68%
Under 2.5 goals
DE51
Draw30
JA19
Why
Jaguares's defence sits at the 7th percentile — among the weakest
Deportivo Pereira takes 1.5 points per game at home, the opponent 0.18 away
Deportivo Pereira takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.45 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Jaguares concedes 2.2 goals per game away
Deportivo Pereira has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Deportivo Pereira's defence sits at the 25th percentile — among the weakest
Jaguares takes 1.54 points per game at home against 0.18 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Deportivo Pereira at 51%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

DEPDEP
JAGJAG
Santiago de las Atalayas · Pre-match analysis
68%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
DEP
30%
Draw
19%
JAG
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Jaguares's defence sits at the 7th percentile — among the weakest
  • Deportivo Pereira takes 1.5 points per game at home, the opponent 0.18 away
  • Deportivo Pereira takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.45 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Jaguares concedes 2.2 goals per game away
  • Deportivo Pereira has won 5 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Deportivo Pereira's defence sits at the 25th percentile — among the weakest
  • Jaguares takes 1.54 points per game at home against 0.18 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
77.6%
Market
55%
Divergence
+22.6

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 77.6%, the market at 55%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Deportivo Pereira at 51%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions