GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇨🇴 Primera A · · 01:15
versus

Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar

Estadio Palogrande
Pre-match analysis
65%
Under 2.5 goals
ON42
Draw31
AL27
Why
Once Caldas takes 1.67 points per game at home, the opponent 0.93 away
Once Caldas takes 1.67 points per game at home against 1.03 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Once Caldas at 42%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ONCONC
ALIALI
Estadio Palogrande · Pre-match analysis
65%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
ONC
31%
Draw
27%
ALI
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Once Caldas takes 1.67 points per game at home, the opponent 0.93 away
  • Once Caldas takes 1.67 points per game at home against 1.03 away — two different sides depending on the ground

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Home under 1.0 goals
Model
47.3%
Market
26%
Divergence
+21.3

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 47.3%, the market at 26%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Once Caldas at 42%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions