GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇴 Primera A · · 23:05
versus

Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe

Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals
AT54
Draw26
SA20
Why
Atletico Nacional's attack sits at the 98th percentile of the league
Atletico Nacional takes 2.4 points per game at home, the opponent 1.54 away
Atletico Nacional takes 2.4 points per game at home against 1.37 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Atletico Nacional has won 4 of its last 6
Atletico Nacional scores 2.2 goals per game at home
What could fool us
Santa Fe's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Atletico Nacional at 54%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ATLATL
SANSAN
Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
ATL
26%
Draw
20%
SAN
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Atletico Nacional's attack sits at the 98th percentile of the league
  • Atletico Nacional takes 2.4 points per game at home, the opponent 1.54 away
  • Atletico Nacional takes 2.4 points per game at home against 1.37 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Atletico Nacional has won 4 of its last 6
  • Atletico Nacional scores 2.2 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • Santa Fe's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 2.0 goals2Strength 88.7/100
Home under 2.0 goals
Model
71.9%
Market
59%
Divergence
+12.9

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 71.9%, the market at 59%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

6 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Atletico Nacional at 54%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions