GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇩🇰 Superliga · · 12:00
versus

Aarhus
Odense

New Vejlby Stadium · Referee m-kristoffersen
Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire Aarhus
AA68
Draw19
OD13
Why
Aarhus's attack sits at the 82th percentile of the league
Odense's defence sits at the 32th percentile — among the weakest
Aarhus takes 1.74 points per game at home, the opponent 0.94 away
Odense has 8 declared absences
Odense has lost 4 of its last 6
Aarhus has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Aarhus has 8 declared absences
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Aarhus at 68%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

AARAAR
ODEODE
New Vejlby Stadium · Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire AA
68%
AAR
19%
Draw
13%
ODE
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Aarhus's attack sits at the 82th percentile of the league
  • Odense's defence sits at the 32th percentile — among the weakest
  • Aarhus takes 1.74 points per game at home, the opponent 0.94 away
  • Odense has 8 declared absences
  • Odense has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Aarhus has won 5 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Aarhus has 8 declared absences
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home over 2.0 goals2Strength 95/100
Home over 2.0 goals
Model
56.9%
Market
40%
Divergence
+16.9

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 56.9%, the market at 40%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
m-kristoffersen
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Aarhus at 68%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions