GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇭🇷 HNL · — · 19:00
versus

HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split

Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
1 – 2
Full time
58%
Under 2.5 goals
HN23
Draw29
HN48
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h23%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

hnl · 21:00
HNKHNK
HNKHNK
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕58%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
23%
Win HNK
29%
Draw
48%
Win HNK
what happened
23%at opening→23%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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HN winDrawHN win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260816_af-1548508_210823hv1.9.354%53%

What would have to change

i22.6 pt span
Red card48 → 26.9-21.1
Opponent scores first48 → 45.2-2.8
High tempo48 → 49.5+1.5
Low tempo48 → 46.8-1.2
Key substitution48 → 47-1
Early goal48 → 480

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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