GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇳 Super League · · 12:00
versus

Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun

Beijing Workers' Stadium
33
Full time
79%
Over 2.5 goals
BE64
Draw18
YU18
Why
Beijing Guoan's attack sits at the 94th percentile of the league
Yunnan Yukun's defence sits at the 19th percentile — among the weakest
Beijing Guoan takes 1.92 points per game at home, the opponent 0.96 away
Beijing Guoan has won 4 of its last 6
Beijing Guoan scores 2.2 goals per game at home
Yunnan Yukun concedes 2 goals per game away
Beijing Guoan has won 3 of the last 4 meetings
What could fool us
Yunnan Yukun takes 1.96 points per game at home against 0.96 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Beijing Guoan at 64%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

BEIBEI
YUNYUN
Beijing Workers' Stadium
33
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed79%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
64%
Win BEI
18%
Draw
what happened
18%
Win YUN
64%at opening64%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Beijing Guoan's attack sits at the 94th percentile of the league
  • Yunnan Yukun's defence sits at the 19th percentile — among the weakest
  • Beijing Guoan takes 1.92 points per game at home, the opponent 0.96 away
  • Beijing Guoan has won 4 of its last 6
  • Beijing Guoan scores 2.2 goals per game at home
  • Yunnan Yukun concedes 2 goals per game away
  • Beijing Guoan has won 3 of the last 4 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Yunnan Yukun takes 1.96 points per game at home against 0.96 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Away over 1.0 goals1Strength 80.3/100
Away over 1.0 goals
Model
65.1%
Market
55%
Divergence
+10.1

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 65.1%, the market at 55%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Beijing Guoan at 64%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions