GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · · 00:00
versus

Newells Old Boys
Banfield

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa · Referee f-viola
10
65:00
64%
Under 2.5 goals
NE39
Draw31
BA30
Why
Banfield's defence sits at the 9th percentile — among the weakest
What could fool us
Newells Old Boys's defence sits at the 9th percentile — among the weakest
Banfield takes 1.48 points per game at home against 0.83 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Newells Old Boys at 39%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

NEWNEW
BANBAN
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
10
65:00

Live intelligence

i65'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 1–0, 65'
82%
NE win
16%
Draw
2%
BA win
+43ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO65'
Expected goals
0.000.00
Home side ahead of its expected goals by 1.00.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments
  • 60'Substitution 2 BANF. AlvarezBAN
  • 59'Substitution 1 BANL. CanoBAN
  • 51'Normal Goal NEWM. CoccaroNEW
  • 50'Yellow Card BANF. AlvarezBAN
  • 46'Substitution 1 NEWI. RamirezNEW
  • 44'Yellow Card NEWJ. GomezNEW
  • 4'Yellow Card BANT. AdoryanBAN
Model changes
  • +14pp51' — NEW goalScore state changed. The remaining-time model re-weighted NEW's control of the match.
  • 0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

39%
NEW
31%
Draw
30%
BAN
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Banfield's defence sits at the 9th percentile — among the weakest

What could mislead us

  • Newells Old Boys's defence sits at the 9th percentile — among the weakest
  • Banfield takes 1.48 points per game at home against 0.83 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Referee
f-viola
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Newells Old Boys at 39%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions