GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Serie A · — · 21:30
versus

Atletico-MG
Vitoria

MRV Arena
Pre-match analysis
62%
Under 2.5 goals
AT54
Draw26
VI20
Head to head
1
ATL
2
Draw
5
VIT
mars 2026VIT — ATL2 – 0
août 2025VIT — ATL1 – 0
avr. 2025ATL — VIT2 – 2
oct. 2024ATL — VIT2 – 2
juin 2024VIT — ATL4 – 2
août 2018VIT — ATL1 – 0
avr. 2018ATL — VIT2 – 1
sept. 2017ATL — VIT1 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h54%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1SE Palmeiras7542+20
3CR Flamengo7335+13
Brasileirão · 23:30
ATLATL
VITVIT
MRV Arena · Pre-match analysis
62%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AT winDrawVI win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1492351_210805hv1.9.354%62%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card54 → 32.9-21.1
Opponent scores first54 → 51.2-2.8
Key substitution54 → 53-1
High tempo54 → 54.6+0.6
Low tempo54 → 53.5-0.5
Early goal54 → 540

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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1
AT wins
2
Draws
5
VI wins
14 Mar 2026VIT — ATL2 – 0
31 Aug 2025VIT — ATL1 – 0
14 Apr 2025ATL — VIT2 – 2
5 Oct 2024ATL — VIT2 – 2
20 Jun 2024VIT — ATL4 – 2
26 Aug 2018VIT — ATL1 – 0
22 Apr 2018ATL — VIT2 – 1
25 Sept 2017ATL — VIT1 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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