GRABBLESTATS
Watch🌍 Serie A · · 22:30
versus

Coritiba
Corinthians

· Referee a-daronco
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
CO34
Draw25
CO41
Why
Corinthians has 12 declared absences
What could fool us
Coritiba has 10 declared absences
Corinthians has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Corinthians at 41%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

CORCOR
CORCOR
· Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
34%
COR
25%
Draw
41%
COR
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Corinthians has 12 declared absences

What could mislead us

  • Coritiba has 10 declared absences
  • Corinthians has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Over 2.0 goals2Strength 95/100
Over 2.0 goals
Model
66.2%
Market
49%
Divergence
+17.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 66.2%, the market at 49%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
a-daronco
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 20
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Corinthians at 41%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions