GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Serie A · — · 00:00
versus

Sao Paulo
Coritiba

Estadio Do MorumBIS
1 – 1
Full time
66%
Victoire Sao Paulo
SA66
Draw19
CO15
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h66%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1SE Palmeiras7542+20
3CR Flamengo7335+13
Brasileirão · 02:00
SAOSAO
CORCOR
Estadio Do MorumBIS
1 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕66%Sao Paulo win · announced before kick-off
66%
Win SAO
19%
Draw
what happened
15%
Win COR
66%at opening→66%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SA winDrawCO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1492337_210805hv1.9.354%79%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card66 → 44.9-21.1
Opponent scores first66 → 63.2-2.8
Key substitution66 → 65-1
High tempo66 → 66.7+0.7
Low tempo66 → 65.4-0.6
Early goal66 → 660

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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