GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Serie A · — · 22:30
versus

Corinthians
Cruzeiro

Neo Quimica Arena
1 – 2
Full time
66%
Under 2.5 goals
CO36
Draw29
CR35
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h36%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1SE Palmeiras7542+20
3CR Flamengo7335+13
Brasileirão · 00:30
CORCOR
CRUCRU
Neo Quimica Arena
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕66%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
36%
Win COR
29%
Draw
35%
Win CRU
what happened
36%at opening→36%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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CO winDrawCR win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1492333_210805hv1.9.354%35%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card36 → 14.9-21.1
Opponent scores first36 → 33.2-2.8
Key substitution36 → 35-1
High tempo36 → 36.7+0.7
Low tempo36 → 35.4-0.6
Early goal36 → 360

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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