GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Serie A · — · 19:00
versus

Atletico-MG
Gremio

MRV Arena
3 – 0
Full time
55%
Under 2.5 goals
AT48
Draw26
GR26
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h48%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1SE Palmeiras7542+20
3CR Flamengo7335+13
Brasileirão · 21:00
ATLATL
GREGRE
MRV Arena
3 – 0
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕55%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
48%
Win ATL
what happened
26%
Draw
26%
Win GRE
48%at opening→48%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AT winDrawGR win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1492331_210805hv1.9.354%50%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card48 → 26.9-21.1
Opponent scores first48 → 45.2-2.8
Key substitution48 → 47-1
High tempo48 → 48.6+0.6
Low tempo48 → 47.5-0.5
Early goal48 → 480

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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