GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · · 02:30
versus

Portland Timbers
Austin

Providence Park
Pre-match analysis
55%
Under 2.5 goals
PO45
Draw27
AU28
Why
Austin's defence sits at the 32th percentile — among the weakest
Portland Timbers takes 1.85 points per game at home, the opponent 0.86 away
Portland Timbers takes 1.85 points per game at home against 0.86 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Portland Timbers has won 4 of its last 6
Austin has lost 4 of its last 6
Portland Timbers scores 1.9 goals per game at home
Austin concedes 2.1 goals per game away
Portland Timbers has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Austin takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.86 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Portland Timbers at 45%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

PORPOR
AUSAUS
Providence Park · Pre-match analysis
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
POR
27%
Draw
28%
AUS
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Austin's defence sits at the 32th percentile — among the weakest
  • Portland Timbers takes 1.85 points per game at home, the opponent 0.86 away
  • Portland Timbers takes 1.85 points per game at home against 0.86 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Portland Timbers has won 4 of its last 6
  • Austin has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Portland Timbers scores 1.9 goals per game at home
  • Austin concedes 2.1 goals per game away
  • Portland Timbers has won 5 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Austin takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.86 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Portland Timbers at 45%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions