GRABBLESTATS
Watch🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 23:30
versus

Toronto FC
New York City FC

BMO Field
Pre-match analysis
59%
Under 2.5 goals
TO32
Draw29
NE39
Head to head
1
TOR
1
Draw
6
NEW
juil. 2026NEW — TOR1 – 1
juil. 2025NEW — TOR3 – 1
avr. 2025TOR — NEW0 – 1
mai 2024TOR — NEW2 – 3
mars 2024NEW — TOR2 – 1
sept. 2023NEW — TOR3 – 0
juil. 2023NEW — TOR5 – 0
avr. 2023TOR — NEW1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h32%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 01:30
TORTOR
NEWNEW
BMO Field · Pre-match analysis
59%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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TO winDrawNE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1490425_210805hv1.9.354%38%

What would have to change

i22.8 pt span
Red card39 → 17.9-21.1
Opponent scores first39 → 36.2-2.8
High tempo39 → 40.7+1.7
Low tempo39 → 37.6-1.4
Key substitution39 → 38-1
Early goal39 → 390

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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1
TO wins
1
Draws
6
NE wins
1 Aug 2026NEW — TOR1 – 1
4 Jul 2025NEW — TOR3 – 1
26 Apr 2025TOR — NEW0 – 1
12 May 2024TOR — NEW2 – 3
17 Mar 2024NEW — TOR2 – 1
24 Sept 2023NEW — TOR3 – 0
27 Jul 2023NEW — TOR5 – 0
30 Apr 2023TOR — NEW1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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