GRABBLESTATS
Watch🌍 Major League Soccer · · 23:30
versus

New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union

Sports Illustrated Stadium
Pre-match analysis
54%
Under 2.5 goals
YO31
Draw27
PH42
Why
New York Red Bulls takes 1.74 points per game at home, the opponent 1.22 away
New York Red Bulls takes 1.74 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground
New York Red Bulls scores 1.9 goals per game at home
What could fool us
New York Red Bulls's defence sits at the 28th percentile — among the weakest
Philadelphia Union takes 1.89 points per game at home against 1.22 away — two different sides depending on the ground
New York Red Bulls has lost 4 of its last 6
Philadelphia Union has won 4 of its last 6
Philadelphia Union has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Philadelphia Union at 42%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

YORYOR
PHIPHI
Sports Illustrated Stadium · Pre-match analysis
54%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
YOR
27%
Draw
42%
PHI
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • New York Red Bulls takes 1.74 points per game at home, the opponent 1.22 away
  • New York Red Bulls takes 1.74 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • New York Red Bulls scores 1.9 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • New York Red Bulls's defence sits at the 28th percentile — among the weakest
  • Philadelphia Union takes 1.89 points per game at home against 1.22 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • New York Red Bulls has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Philadelphia Union has won 4 of its last 6
  • Philadelphia Union has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Philadelphia Union at 42%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions