GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Major League Soccer · · 20:30
versus

Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire

Lumen Field
Pre-match analysis
71%
Over 2.5 goals
SE54
Draw21
CH25
Why
Seattle Sounders takes 1.96 points per game at home against 1.11 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Seattle Sounders scores 2.1 goals per game at home
Chicago Fire concedes 1.8 goals per game away
What could fool us
Chicago Fire's attack sits at the 92th percentile of the league
Seattle Sounders has lost 6 of its last 6
Chicago Fire has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Seattle Sounders at 54%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

SEASEA
CHICHI
Lumen Field · Pre-match analysis
71%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
SEA
21%
Draw
25%
CHI
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Seattle Sounders takes 1.96 points per game at home against 1.11 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Seattle Sounders scores 2.1 goals per game at home
  • Chicago Fire concedes 1.8 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • Chicago Fire's attack sits at the 92th percentile of the league
  • Seattle Sounders has lost 6 of its last 6
  • Chicago Fire has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Seattle Sounders at 54%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions