GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 02:30
versus

Portland Timbers
San Diego

Providence Park
3 – 1
Full time
56%
Both teams to score
PO25
Draw24
SA51
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h25%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 04:30
PORPOR
SANSAN
Providence Park
3 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓56%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
25%
Win POR
what happened
24%
Draw
51%
Win SAN
25%at opening→25%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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PO winDrawSA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260820_af-1490405_210805hv1.9.354%55%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card51 → 29.9-21.1
Opponent scores first51 → 48.2-2.8
Key substitution51 → 50-1
High tempo51 → 51.5+0.5
Low tempo51 → 50.6-0.4
Early goal51 → 510

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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