GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 01:30
versus

Seattle Sounders
Austin

Lumen Field
1 – 2
Full time
60%
Victoire Seattle Sounders
SE60
Draw23
AU17
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h60%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 03:30
SEASEA
AUSAUS
Lumen Field
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕60%Seattle Sounders win · announced before kick-off
60%
Win SEA
23%
Draw
17%
Win AUS
what happened
60%at opening→60%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SE winDrawAU win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260820_af-1490401_210805hv1.9.354%71%

What would have to change

i21.2 pt span
Red card60 → 38.9-21.1
Opponent scores first60 → 57.2-2.8
Key substitution60 → 59-1
High tempo60 → 59.9-0.1
Low tempo60 → 60.1+0.1
Early goal60 → 600

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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