GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 23:30
versus

Toronto FC
Charlotte

BMO Field
3 – 3
Full time
60%
Under 2.5 goals
TO34
Draw29
CH37
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h34%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 01:30
TORTOR
CHACHA
BMO Field
3 – 3
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕60%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
34%
Win TOR
29%
Draw
what happened
37%
Win CHA
34%at opening→34%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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TO winDrawCH win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260819_af-1490396_210805hv1.9.354%36%

What would have to change

i22.8 pt span
Red card37 → 15.9-21.1
Opponent scores first37 → 34.2-2.8
High tempo37 → 38.7+1.7
Low tempo37 → 35.6-1.4
Key substitution37 → 36-1
Early goal37 → 370

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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