GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 23:30
versus

Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire

Exploria Stadium
1 – 2
Full time
75%
Over 2.5 goals
OR51
Draw20
CH29
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h51%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 01:30
ORLORL
CHICHI
Exploria Stadium
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓75%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
51%
Win ORL
20%
Draw
29%
Win CHI
what happened
51%at opening→51%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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OR winDrawCH win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260819_af-1490395_210805hv1.9.354%59%

What would have to change

i21.5 pt span
Red card51 → 29.9-21.1
Opponent scores first51 → 48.2-2.8
Key substitution51 → 50-1
High tempo51 → 51.4+0.4
Low tempo51 → 50.7-0.3
Early goal51 → 510

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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