GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 22:00
versus

New York City FC
Philadelphia Union

Yankee Stadium
2 – 3
Full time
53%
Under 2.5 goals
NE36
Draw27
PH37
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h36%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 00:00
NEWNEW
PHIPHI
Yankee Stadium
2 – 3
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕53%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
36%
Win NEW
27%
Draw
37%
Win PHI
what happened
36%at opening→36%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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NE winDrawPH win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1490388_210805hv1.9.354%38%

What would have to change

i21.3 pt span
Red card37 → 15.9-21.1
Opponent scores first37 → 34.2-2.8
Key substitution37 → 36-1
High tempo37 → 36.7-0.3
Low tempo37 → 37.2+0.2
Early goal37 → 370

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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