GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 23:30
versus

Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls

Mercedes-Benz Stadium
2 – 1
Full time
54%
Both teams to score
AT33
Draw27
YO40
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h33%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 01:30
ATLATL
YORYOR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
2 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓54%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
33%
Win ATL
what happened
27%
Draw
40%
Win YOR
33%at opening→33%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AT winDrawYO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1490377_210805hv1.9.354%41%

What would have to change

i23.4 pt span
Red card40 → 18.9-21.1
Opponent scores first40 → 37.2-2.8
High tempo40 → 42.3+2.3
Low tempo40 → 38.2-1.8
Key substitution40 → 39-1
Early goal40 → 400

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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